Investors may take shine to silver after gold high
OLD-SILVER/INVESTMENT (ANALYSIS)
* Silver may attract investors as gold ratio nears lows
* Platinum could get investment boost from U.S. ETF
By Lewa Pardomuan
SINGAPORE, Oct 7 (Reuters) - With gold at last piercing a new high, investors may next turn their attention to silver, which now looks overdue for a rally even as it and other metals remain constrained by a halting global industrial recovery.
Often dubbed bullion's bridesmaid, silver is now trading at near its lowest ratio to gold in a year, slipping to around the equivalent of 59 units per ounce of gold, just above September's low and down more than a quarter from the peak in late 2008.
For a graphic on gold to silver ratio, click on the link: http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/109/CMD_GLDSVR1009.gif
Signs are emerging of investors seeking an alternative to gold
India's HDFC Bank
"If it does move higher, you'd expect silver to outperform. The last time gold hit its high, silver was trading at $20. It's got a lot of catching up to do," said Mark Hewlett, a commodity analyst at Cornhill Capital in London.
Silver
Unlike gold, investment into the world's largest silver-backed exchange-traded fund, the iShares Silver Trust
But like gold, silver has also witnessed a surge in speculative long investment on the Comex futures exchange.
For a graphic on ETF versus futures holdings click: http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/109/CMD_SLVRSPD1009.gif
For details on silver holdings by the ETF, click on: http://us.ishares.com/product_info/fund/overview/SLV.htm
Physical trading was muted in Hong Kong, with silver bars offered at a discount of 10 to 20 U.S. cents to the spot London prices, barely changed from last week.
"Physical demand for gold will definitely slow down because of the high prices. Platinum is still expensive, so probably people would like to buy silver because it's cheaper," said a physical dealer in Hong Kong.
"But I still have doubts because most investors see silver as an industrial metal," he added.
PLATINUM: INDUSTRIAL WOES, INVESTMENT FLOWS
Industrial applications accounted for half of global demand for silver last year, followed by jewellery and photography, while implied net investment demand made up a mere 5.6 percent, according to the Silver Institute.
Platinum, which is also used in jewellery, has been hit hardest by falling demand from automakers, as the industry suffered heavly during the economic meltdown. Autocatalysts accounted for around half of global consumption last year.
Platinum
"If the expectation is that gold rallies from here, platinum may have a U.S. ETF in the near future which will bring a lot of investment demand which could mop up the excess supply left by poor car sales," said Hewlett of Cornhill Capital.
"This could see it out-perform silver as the silver ETF is already alive and kicking."
While gains in other precious metals may be overdue, analysts were agreed that, ultimately, there was no substitute for gold.
"It's difficult to see to reasons to sell it, given we're seeing a continuation in the weakening of the U.S. dollar," said Darren Heathcote, head of trading at Investec Australia. (Editing by Jonathan Leff)
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